Hump Day Lines: Round 8

Dusty Lines for Footy Inc.

The topsy-turvy results from round 7 suggest that the “Any Given Sunday” concept is on the march in the AFL. It was a tipsters nightmare but it made for an entertaining weekend of football.

This week we’ll jump straight into the round 8 lines. Our line-tipping table after round 7 is at the bottom of the post.

ROUND 8 LINES

West Coast -11.5 / Western Bulldogs +11.5

The Bulldogs started their amazing run through the 2016 finals series at Domain Stadium against West Coast with a runaway win. Otherwise their record in the west is not great including a loss to Fremantle in round 3.
This is an important match for two teams with aspirations of finishing in the top four (currently sitting 4th [Eagles] and 5th [Dogs]).

Tips:

West Coast -11.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Moose Dogs, Hollywood, Shan

Western Bulldogs +11.5 points – TRM, Ding Dong

Hawthorn -42.5 / Brisbane +42.5

Brisbane were smacked by Sydney last week and are definitely the worst team in the competition this year. They would be best advised to start focusing on nailing the #1 pick in the draft.

Hawthorn on the other hand has a chance to go to a 3-5 win/loss record and would all of a sudden be back in reaching distance of the finals.

Massive line for the Hawks to chase down – too big for mine.

Tips:

Hawthorn -42.5 points – Moose Dogs, Shan

Brisbane +42.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Hollywood, TRM, Ding Dong

St Kilda -27.5 / Carlton +27.5

This looks like a good opportunity for the Saints to consolidate their spot in the top 8 up against a patchy Carlton. Three wins is an awesome result for the young Blues only seven rounds into the season but the Saints are taking it up to the best teams in the competition now and should win this one easily.

Tips:

St Kilda -27.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Moose Dogs, Hollywood, Shan, TRM

Carlton +27.5 points – Ding Dong

GWS -30.5 / Collingwood +30.5

The Pies win/loss record so far this year (L-L-W-L-L-W-L) suggests that they only turn up to play every third week and unfortunately for Pies fans this is another “off-week”.

The Giants, coming off a loss to St Kilda, have not lost two in a row since round 10 & 11 in 2016 and that was their only back-to-back loss last season.

So, based on all of that, the Giants win, but do they cover the 30.5 point line? The Magpies haven’t really been blown away so far this year (23 points has been their worst loss) however the Giants have handed out some big beltings. Which way does this one go?

Tips:

GWS -30.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Moose Dogs, Shan

Collingwood +30.5 points – Hollywood, TRM, Ding Dong

IMG_4612(2)
Jeremy Cameron – due for a bag of goals

Essendon +21.5 / Geelong -21.5

After five good wins to start the season the Cats looked like a certain top-four team but now after two nasty losses to the Pies and Suns it is difficult to gauge where they are at.  Essendon’s form has also been up and down and their best might make this a tough one for the Cats.

But if the Cats are a serious contender this year they should win this one easily.

Tips:

Essendon +21.5 points – none

Geelong -21.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Moose Dogs, Hollywood, Shan, TRM, Ding Dong

Adelaide -37.5 / Melbourne +37.5

The Crows performance last week was completely out of character – what a bizarre match with the score getting to 64 to 0 before the Crows finally got on the board.  Back at Adelaide Oval where they have been belting teams all year makes them heavy favourites.

The Demons have been solid all year with some narrow losses within their 3-4 win/loss record.  They should be able to keep this match close enough to stay within the 37.5 point line.

Tips:

Adelaide -37.5 points – Big O, Moose Dogs, Ding Dong

Melbourne +37.5 points – Dusty, Hollywood, Shan, TRM

Richmond -18.5 / Fremantle +18.5

The Tigers couldn’t hold onto a handy lead that they built up against the Bulldogs last week but their fans would still be reasonably pleased with the fight they put up to last year’s premiers.

The Dockers last five weeks have been very good winning four out of five but four of those matches have been in Perth whilst this week they need to travel to Melbourne.

It makes sense for the Tigers to be favourites at the MCG but the line is well placed at 18.5 points – it’s a tough decision.

Tips:

Richmond -18.5 points – Dusty, Moose Dogs, Hollywood, Shan, TRM, Ding Dong

Fremantle +18.5 points – Big O

Gold Coast +19.5 / Port Adelaide -19.5

Jiangwan Sports Stadium in Shanghai will host this match which is unique and let’s hope it has some impact on promoting the great game of Aussie Rules overseas.  But for all the reporting on which team is flying economy and which team is flying first class, air quality and asthma sufferers, flight delays in Singapore, etc, etc, it is just another game of football and we need to find a winner.

When Port win they usually win big and while both teams have had reasonable starts to the season, Port’s form stacks up better having only lost matches to very good teams (Crows, Giants and Eagles) and even then have been very competitive.

Tips:

Gold Coast +19.5 points – Big O, Moose Dogs, Ding Dong

Port Adelaide -19.5 points – Dusty, Hollywood, Shan, TRM

china flag(2)

 

North Melbourne -2.5 / Sydney +2.5

Both these teams started the year very slowly but are coming off good wins last weekend.  The Kangaroos win was particularly impressive given it was a humping of top-of-the-table Adelaide.  The Swans on the other hand beat bottom-of-the-table Brisbane but that might be all they needed to ignite a bit of a comeback this season.

This is pretty much a head-to-head call with the line only at 2.5 points. Sydney’s team has slowly been getting stronger with players coming off the injury list and back into the side – Swans to cover.

Tips:

North Melbourne -2.5 points – Moose Dogs, TRM

Sydney +2.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Hollywood, Shan, Ding Dong

STANDINGS

There were some woeful results from our line-tipping last week. Here is the table after round 7:

Rd7-table

Round 8 results and an updated ladder will be published next week on Footy Inc..

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