Hump Day Lines: Finals Week 2

Dusty Lines for Footy Inc.

The Tigers and Crows dominated at the line right throughout the home and away season and managed to cover the line again in week 1 of finals. Both those teams have earned themselves a week off in advance of preliminary finals weekend.

In the semi-finals this week we have the Swans going in as solid favourites against the Cats and a rattled Giants starting favourites against the Eagles. See full line previews for both semi-finals below.

LINE LADDER

W1 finals-team line ladder

LINES – FINALS WEEK 2

Geelong +18.5 / Sydney -18.5

Most indicators are pointing to a comfortable Swans win against the Cats on Friday night. The Cats were overrun by the Tigers last Friday night at the MCG and also came out with injury issues for Cam Guthrie and Jake Kolodjashnij. When these teams played in round 20 at Simonds Stadium the Swans won by 46 points. The Swans were the only team to beat the Cats at Simonds this season (the Cats won six from seven in Geelong). In their two encounters in 2016 the Swans won both matches easily including the preliminary final by 37 points.

The Swans are also on a 15-2 run including a 65-point annihilation of the Bombers in an elimination final last Saturday.

It seems like nothing can stop this Sydney rampage right now and the -18.5 point line seems very manageable.

Tips:

Geelong +18.5 points – Ding Dong

Sydney -18.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Moose Dogs, Hollywood, Shan, TRM

Lance_Franklin_2017.1
Buddy back on the ‘G (Image credit: Flickerd [License])

GWS -16.5 / West Coast +16.5

The Giants have beaten the Eagles twice already in 2017 – the first time by 8 points in the West and the second time by 21 points at Spotless Stadium in Sydney.

The Giants will go into Saturday night’s match as 16.5 point favourites coming off a 36-point loss to Adelaide in their qualifying final last weekend. They were outplayed by the Crows and to make matters worse they will lose Jeremy Cameron and Shane Mumford to injury.

The Eagles on the other hand scraped through their elimination final against Port Adelaide with a 2-point win in extra time. Luke Shuey’s cool finish with a shot after the siren was a great finish to an amazing match.

GWS should get the win and progress to a preliminary final but with those injury concerns for the Giants the Eagles may cause them some real trouble and keep it close. Eagles at the +16.5 point line.

Tips:

GWS -16.5 points – Moose Dogs, TRM

West Coast +16.5 points – Dusty, Big O, Hollywood, Shan, Ding Dong

Luke_Shuey_2015
The Ice Man – Luke Shuey (Image credit: Tourism Victoria)

STANDINGS

The line tipping table after week 1 of finals:

W1 finals-table

Results from week 2 of finals and an updated ladder will be published next week on Footy Inc..

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